Rapidly increasing deaths projected for 5 years, based on USAID funding reductions, as per a recent study.
The United States Agency for International Development (USAID), a key player in distributing the country's foreign aid, is facing significant cuts under the Trump administration, with potentially catastrophic consequences for global public health.
A study published in The Lancet by an international group of researchers, including scientists from the Barcelona Institute for Global Health in Spain and the University of California, Los Angeles, forecasts that these funding reductions could cause more than 14 million additional deaths by 2030.
Elon Musk, through his Department of Government Efficiency, has been at the forefront of these cuts, with the Trump administration's 'Big Beautiful Bill' potentially leading to many preventable deaths due to Medicaid cuts. Musk himself has been criticized for his role, bragging about cutting USAID funding, stating he had "spent the weekend feeding USAID into the wood chipper."
The study, led by Daniella Cavalcanti, a postdoctoral researcher at the Federal University of Bahia's Institute of Collective Health in Brazil, estimates that since 2001, USAID funding has helped save dozens of millions of lives. Between 2001 and 2021, it is suggested that USAID funding likely saved 91 million lives, with the largest reductions in mortality tied to HIV/AIDS, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.
The cuts have led to a massive rescission of foreign aid, including an $8.3 billion clawback of already-approved funds for 2025, effectively canceling about 85% of USAID programs. This has resulted in the shutdown of critical health and humanitarian programs, such as PEPFAR, launched to tackle HIV/AIDS and credited with saving 25 million lives.
The cancellation of USAID funding streams disrupts local health infrastructures and service delivery, leading to a loss of local provider support and grant networks. Some USAID programs are being absorbed by the State Department, which has stated that significant portions of USAID funding were "not aligned with core U.S. national interests." This realignment risks weakening program effectiveness due to possible deprioritization of health initiatives globally.
Former Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama have condemned the dismantling of USAID as a "colossal mistake" with tragic consequences for global health. Humanitarian organizations express deep concern over the erosion of decades of progress. The study warns that unless things change dramatically, Musk's legacy will be stained with the blood of the poor and vulnerable.
It is important to note that Musk is no longer officially part of President Donald Trump's inner circle, with his designation as a special government employee having run out in late May. However, the impacts of the cuts he initiated remain a significant concern for global health experts and humanitarian organizations alike.
USAID resources have bolstered programs worldwide to provide people with vaccines, anti-malaria mosquito nets, and other vital medical supplies. The potential loss of these resources could leave millions vulnerable to disease outbreaks and worsened health outcomes worldwide.
References: [1] Cavalcanti, D., et al. (2020). The Trump administration's foreign aid cuts: a global health crisis in the making. The Lancet. [2] USAID. (2020). USAID 2025 Strategic Plan. [3] USAID. (2020). USAID's response to COVID-19. [4] Obama, B. (2020). Obama criticizes Trump's handling of foreign aid and global health. The Washington Post.
- The science community is alarmed by the potential consequences of USAID funding cuts under the Trump administration.
- The 'Big Beautiful Bill' has been criticized for its potential to exacerbate chronic diseases and cancer due to Medicaid cuts.
- Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency plays a significant role in these proposed cuts, leading to controversy and criticism.
- A study published in The Lancet predicts that these funding reductions could cause over 14 million additional deaths by 2030.
- Daniella Cavalcanti, a researcher at the Federal University of Bahia's Institute of Collective Health in Brazil, led the study that forecasts these dire outcomes.
- Since 2001, USAID funding has reportedly saved dozens of millions of lives, with the majority of these savings attributed to HIV/AIDS, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases.
- The rescission of foreign aid, including an $8.3 billion clawback of already-approved funds for 2025, could potentially lead to the shutdown of critical health and humanitarian programs.
- The cancellation of USAID funding streams disrupts local health infrastructures and service delivery, causing a loss of local provider support and grant networks.
- Some USAID programs are being absorbed by the State Department, but this realignment risks weakening program effectiveness due to possible deprioritization of health initiatives globally.
- Global health experts and humanitarian organizations condemn the dismantling of USAID, with former Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama calling it a "colossal mistake" with tragic consequences.
- Local health systems will suffer without USAID resources, which have provided vaccines, anti-malaria mosquito nets, and other vital medical supplies.
- The potential loss of these resources could leave millions vulnerable to disease outbreaks and worsened health outcomes worldwide.
- Gizmodo reports that the cuts could have catastrophic consequences for global public health.
- Experts warn that Musk's legacy could be tarnished if these cuts lead to unnecessary suffering and death.
- The Trump administration's stance on foreign aid is controversial and has sparked debate within the technology industry.
- Venture capital firms and investors in the health and wellness industry may be concerned about the impact of these funding cuts on research and development.
- The future of medical-conditions research and therapies could be at risk due to these cuts.
- Climate change and environmental science experts argue that USAID's focus on sustainable development and climate adaptation is crucial for global health.
- The manufacturing industry, including businesses specializing in medical equipment and supplies, could potentially face challenges amidst the funding shortage.
- Mental-health advocates express concern over the impact of the cuts on treatment and support for those suffering from mental illnesses.
- Men's health organizations could potentially see a decline in resources for programs tackling prostate cancer, heart disease, and other conditions.
- Skin-care companies might need to rethink their strategies in light of potential reductions in access to dermatologists and skin-care products.
- Workplace-wellness initiatives could suffer if resources for health education and wellness programs are limited.
- Fitness and exercise enthusiasts may be concerned about the potential erosion of government support for physical activity programs in schools and communities.
- Sexual-health education and family planning programs could face funding cuts, impacting women's health and reproductive rights.
- The autoimmune disorders community could experience setbacks in research and care due to reduced funding for medical research.
- Sustainable energy and finance experts may question the Trump administration's commitment to addressing climate change and promoting clean energy initiatives.
- The retail, transportation, and entrepreneurship sectors could be affected by changes in infrastructure and development global aid supports.
- Leadership and diversity-and-inclusion trainings for small businesses and non-profits funded by USAID could be at risk.
- Personal-finance educators may see a decline in resources for financial literacy programs aimed at helping people manage their money and avoid debt.